Saturday, March 10, 2007

Aljazeera reports First Direct Talks between U.S. and Iran

It appears to be official. At a conference today in Iraq to attempt to improve stability, Aljazeera News Service has announced that U.S. representatives had their first publicly acknowledged dialogue with Iranian representatives since 1979.

Hopefully for the world many more will come. If positioned correctly, both sides offer the other the best opportunity for peace in the region.

Iraq warns neighbours to stay out

Iraq's prime minister has urged regional powers, including Iran and Syria, not to use the country as a proxy battleground.

http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/DE29B631-6219-4E92-9A19-4807E57B7520.htm

449 Quentin and The Kid...

2007-P Geopolitics 101

The kid was 23 and I was 65, so it was surprising that we had as much in common as we did. We could talk easily and effortlessly. We did a little business together and that was our initial connection. But soon we developed a friendship that transcended the decades. There was so much going on in the world and we both enjoyed talking about it.

Topics were available in abundance and we jumped with ease from North Korea to Iraq and on to Iran. We also delved into American history and Western culture. The kid was brilliant beyond his years and I had to strain myself to my intellectual limit to keep up with him. This was new terrain for me, usually I had to wait for others to catch up to me. The thing was that he was good at analyzing nuances. Things that I hadn’t noticed despite my prodigious reading. If I picked up a new book on terrorism, World War 2 or Islamic History he had already read it and his critique always had an incisive new slant that I had not even considered.

The kid was also precocious at business and I could sense that soon he would leave me in the dust in that area. Almost without realizing it I was verging on becoming his acolyte. I could see myself sitting at his feet asking about the meaning of life as well as where to buy the best cigars. The way things were going soon I would be asking him for personal advice and I didn’t want to go there. Collecting Social Security and having a 23 year old kid for a mentor all in one year was a bit to much for my aging and decaying ego to contend with.

The kid was becoming too big of an entity for me to handle. This was amazing in and of itself, since I had been dealing with my impending appointment with the grim reaper and had aced that one. Besides I sensed that to him I was becoming a bit of a bore and a predictable one at that. Soon he and all of the talks that I cherished would be gone. I could take that to the bank. I knew that I had better refine my questions because the minutes were dwindling fast. So I decided to cut to the heart of the matter. It was time to stop micromanaging Iraq or Iran and to go for the gold. To throw one dead center into the heart of the strike zone and to see how far he could hit it.

So I looked him dead in the eye. My aging failing eye directly into his eye vibrant with wisdom and youth.
“We have been talking about the titanic struggle Islam has been waging with the west”, I said.
“You mean the little thousand year plus tea party”, he quipped.
“The very same”, I answered.
“We are going to lose”, He said.
“Can’t you even wait for me to ask the question”, I said.
“You know you are getting a bit predictable”, he said.

I felt like telling him that he was an intellectual punk and that I was doing serious geopolitical analysis while his grandmother was breathing heavy with his grandfather. But the deck was stacked in that debate ,so I stifled my anger. “Are you saying that with all of our sea power, air power and nuclear weapons we are going to lose our civilization to a pack of street thugs”, I said.
“Exactly”, the little bastard replied smugly. Then he went on almost in a whisper, ”did you ever consider where the foundation that supports Wall Street, The Mississippi River and Hollywood came from?

“ What do you mean”, I asked.
“ The supports were forged at places like Bunker Hill, Gettysburg and Iowa Jima”, he continued
“ I understand that”, I said ,but what’s your point.
“I have been on college campuses all over the country”, he went on.
“And your point is“? I replied.
“It’s just that I mingle and I talk constantly with my generation”, he said.
“And you do not“.
“Of course I do not”, I said, “your 23 and I’m 65”.
“Precisely”, he continued, “they’re my peers not yours”.
“What is your conclusion”, I asked.
“I’ll be leaving America within five years”, he answered. “The future is elsewhere”.
“With all of our military might”, I said.
“In the final equation all of our wealth and our weaponry will not save us’, he went on.
“Because as I said I know my generation. They worship at the shrine of negotiation. They’re too soft and to used to the easy road. They will not fight, it’s as simple as that”.
I walked away and I knew that I would never see the kid again. I also knew that yet again he had nailed it.

Hillary's in Big Trouble...

I know it is very early in the game, but my gut tells me Hillary Clinton is not going to win the Democratic nomination. Everything I see tells me that Barack Obama is going to grow and improve as a candidate by the week and by the time it comes to meet head to head he will blow past her.

Obama is extremely bright and confident. He is a far better speaker. He comes across much more legitimate and confident. To my eyes Hillary is showing cracks already. Unless Obama falls hard due to an unforeseen something, I think he will surprise many and take it.

Putin and Russia: What is Going On?

The more I read about Putin's iron-fisted approach to ruling Russia, the less it alarms me.

I like to consider myself a pragmatist. I try to do as much research as I can (a constantly evolving process) and form beliefs based on the best quantitative analysis of which I am capable. It's not a perfect process and it is subject to change. However, it has helped me get by thus far.

America's recent experiences in Iraq and the Middle East as a whole have taught me a great deal. Each region of the world is steeped in it's own personal histories, rivalries and customs. No outsider can simply come in and impose their beliefs no matter how genuine their intentions.

I have also learned that there is no such thing as allies. That is a term best associated with WWII propaganda films. Then as now, what we have are alliances. Each country, to the best of it's abilities, is out for it's own best interest. There is not one nation in the world that puts another countries best interests before it's own. This brings me back to Mr. Putin's Russia.

Putin is a streamlined, modernized morph from the Cold War Era. He was spawned from the lions of the old KGB. He was never a fan of how the Cold War played out, of Yeltsin's booze-soaked attempt at democracy (western style) or of riding shotgun to Dubya. I doubt he saw a soul mate looking into Bush's eyes during that famous, often referenced meeting. My guess is he felt more like Stalin did after first meeting Truman after Roosevelt's death. (Not impressed to say the least).

Putin never believed that his once great nation deserved to lose superpower status. He had a point - as any nation able to blow up the planet 100 times is not second rate. To him, the former Soviet Union was in remission and was he was not happy about how it was treated by the West during its hiatus.

Over the past few years Putin has successfully managed to revamp and pump Russia back up to main-player status. Russia is riding a resurgence based upon energy wealth and Putin's iron-fisted management style. The Russian people appear to be firmly behind him. They were miserable in the abyss they found themselves in the 1990's. It is clear they are comfortable with Putin's leadership style, preferring it to the anarchy that came to their country along with American-style democracy.

I am happy to see a resurgent Russia much like I am happy to see an emerging China. The blow back, both domestic and international, to America as sole superpower is too great. In fits of rage and jealously the world blames us for all their problems. At home we have become incredibly spoiled and soft. We live with a sense of entitlement comprised of delusional priorities that while idealistic, wouldn't cut it in a Darwinist society.

Let the world see Russian justice, let them see Chinese justice. Let them continue to see Middle Eastern justice. Let everyone see on a comparative basis exactly how business is conducted in the real world so when the Zabar's crowd and the New York Times editors sit down over their nine course high priced lunches, they may have something realistic to gauge their bit-hing about.

Below you will find yet another article that details Putin's mafia-style management. Maybe we should turn Iraq over to him. He appears to play a game of hardball they might understand over there.

Breaking Putin's Cordon
By Masha Lipman
Saturday, March 10, 2007; Page A19

The Kremlin has been sending persistent signals that autonomous political activism will not be tolerated. As a result, political action on the streets has become highly risky in Russia, and those venturing to participate in events unwelcome by the government should be prepared to get in trouble.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/03/09/AR2007030901750.html

New York Times out to Destroy a Presidency ...

You might as well call them "The New York Slimes." Based on their coverage of President Bush's tour of South America there can be no doubt that the formerly great news institution is now an agenda-driven editorial machine using its significant influence for self-motivated purposes.

There is nothing fair and balanced about the articles The New York Times has written on this very important trip. Instead of giving recognition to an American president for finally taking steps to start a movement away from oil dependency, they choose to focus on protesters promoted by regional thug, strongman and arch anti-America advocate Hugo Chavez.

The editors of The New York Times have declared open warfare on the Bush administration and will continue to do so for the balance of his term. They arrogantly use their reach to push a far-left agenda to insure a democrat wins the office of presidency in 08. It is a terrible misuse of influence and it is important that it be memorialized.

Several major news agencies have joined the New York Times in this campaign. NBC News, MSNBC and Newsweek magazine all share the same agenda. It is more important than ever to track this behavior. The presidential primary season has been revamped. Primaries are scheduled earlier and closer together than ever before. Tons of money must be raised much faster in order for candidates to have a shot for contending. News coverage will have a major influence on determining who will be able to emerge as front runners.

I want to stress that this site and editor are neither Republicans nor Democrats. We are moderates that do not agree with the extreme 20% of either party. Our coverage will be fair and focus on the strengths and weaknesses of each candidate's policies. However, we will always focus on media manipulation as we believe it to be extremely dangerous to both the democratic process and the ultimate safety of the country. When a Chavez or the Taliban can count on the New York Times as an ally in achieving it's objectives, it's obvious something is very wrong.

Bush and Chávez Spar at Distance Over Latin Visit

By JIM RUTENBERG and LARRY ROHTER
Published: March 10, 2007

SÃO PAULO, Brazil, March 9 — President Bush began the first full day of his weeklong trip to Latin America here on Friday promising job-creating aid but ended up competing for attention with President Hugo Chávez of Venezuela, who called the American visit an act of imperialism, adding, “Gringo, go home!”

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/03/10/world/americas/10prexy.html?hp